The Theory of Temporal Forecasting
[copy]
Seasonal Models and a Microscope for Time
Think of the Model of Temporal Inertia as a Microscope for Time. When you view a drop of water through the lens of a microscope, you can see a world of single-cell organisms that are otherwise invisible. When you view time series data through the lens of the complex, irregular seasonal models that I’ve developed, you can see patterns and cycles that are otherwise invisible. Those patterns allow us to see further into the future with greater detail, precision, and confidence than possible with any existing tool. Each seasonal model is a lens in the Microscope for Time, revealing patterns of unbalanced force along the seasonal timeline.